02 May Last EKOS poll

Posted at 00:50h in Canadian Politics, Nova Scotia Politics by

Here are the results of the last 2,876 interviews conducted Friday, Saturday, and Sunday by EKOS Research, the first polling company to notice the NDP surge and the company with the most accurate seat projection last year. The numbers include only decided and leaning voters, and they include about 1,000 interviews conducted yesterday.

Last EKOS

Based on these numbers, EKOS pollster Frank Graves issued the following hedge-heavy seat projection:\

  • CPC:   130 to 146 seats
  • NDP:   103 to 123 seats
  • LPC:    36 to 46 seats
  • BQ:    10 to 20 seats
  • GP:    1 seat

For those wanting a point estimate, Graces suggests taking the midpoint of the zones (for example, 138 seats in the case of the Conservative Party of Canada).

The survey included 314 interviews with decided or leaning voters in Atlantic Canada, with the following results. Note that for a sample that small, the statistical sampling error is plus or minus 5.5 percentage points, so treat these figures with caution.

Last Ekos national

There is lots more detail in the full survey report, including regional breakdowns, some of which have much larger samples than Atlantic Canada. Download it here [pdf].

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