Here are the results of the last 2,876 interviews conducted Friday, Saturday, and Sunday by EKOS Research, the first polling company to notice the NDP surge and the company with the most accurate seat projection last year. The numbers include only decided and leaning voters, and they include about 1,000 interviews conducted yesterday. Based on these numbers, EKOS pollster Frank Graves issued the following hedge-heavy seat projection:\ CPC:   130 to 146 seats NDP:   103 to 123 seats LPC:    36 to 46 seats BQ:    10 to 20 seats GP:    1 seat For those wanting a point estimate, Graces suggests taking the midpoint of the...

02 May, 2011

The unprecedented rise in support for the NDP is provoking a lot of reaction from various thoughtful observers. Here's a compendium. From Frank Graves of Ekos Research, author of yesterday's dramatic poll putting the NDP in second place nationally with a projected 100 seats, in a live chat this morning at ipolitics.ca: Nothing is absolutely ruled out. But I think the public is answering Mr. Harper's request for a majority with a pretty clear "No." The intricacies of vote splitting might confuse this as late campaign shifts, but at slightly under 34 points, the Conservatives are well short of a majority. In...

26 April, 2011