CTV Anchor Steve Murphy writes: Have you had an opportunity to watch Cindy Day's very measured approach to forecasting these recent storms?  Cindy constantly stresses that tropical cyclones are extremely difficult to predict with precision, especially when they are several days away.  Her forecasts employ likely and anticipated storm tracks and include ranges for rainfall and wind speeds.   A review of last week's coverage would confirm that Cindy Day's prognosis for Hurricane Bill was remarkably accurate even several days ahead of time.  Our news coverage of the arrival of the storm focused mainly on surf conditions and danger from the waves....

29 August, 2009

Let the blogosphere note that on Friday morning, contrarian bet a friend that Hurricane Bill would not rank among the 10 highest wind speeds recorded in Nova Scotia in 2009. As of this morning, the bet is looking pretty safe. Environment Canada and the CBC  need to realize that the shrill, cover-your-ass forecasts they adopted in the wake Hurricane Juan are just as dangerous as under-predicting. EC and CBC cry wolf so often, and so predictably, citizens simply tune them out. This is a topic contrarian will return to. Reader comments welcome....

22 August, 2009